Signs 66 – Have We Entered a Nemesis Dust Bowl?
The AMS fireball numbers are up and as to the USGS data, please don’t get us started.
That’s worrisome enough but now breaking news from a reliable mainstream source indicates that we may have entered a Nemesis dust bowl.
Sadly, this information is easily overlooked, but for researcher J.P. Jones, it set off an alarm and we’re going to examine this in-depth later in this article.
In the meantime, this news feels like a replay of the past. In particular, the Dust Bowl of the 1930s. It devastated several states in the Great Plains and serves as an iconic testament to short-sidedness.
It was a perfect storm of drought and poor farming techniques, it is considered to be the single, greatest human-caused environmental catastrophe of 20th century America.
Today, history is repeating itself yet again, and it’s a one-two punch of nature and denial as before. When this one lands, the short-sided will see a perfect storm headed straight for them. On that cheery note, let’s get into the numbers.
June 2022 Fireballs
Fireballs are reported worldwide, and the American Meteor Society which is the primary source for North America, for this dataset.
AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs
Multistate/country fireballs cross the borders of multiple states and countries. For this reason, this is a critical category in the dataset because of the distance these fireballs must travel to receive reports from across large geographic areas.
In June we see a significant jump over the previous months of this year. We’re not talking about winning by a nose, but by a length. Nasty though as these are larger fireballs with flatter trajectories.
AMS Huge Event Fireballs
It is a commonplace occurrence for Multistate / Country Fireballs to be reported as huge events because a huge event occurs when 100 or more eyewitness observers report a huge fireball event.
The level remains the same in June as in May. This is what we call “the chowder.”
AMS Monthly Total Fireballs
The monthly total fireballs are the most critical category in this dataset. When we look at the monthly total of fireballs for June 2022 the results are statistically in range with prior years.
June 2022 tops this four-year sub-set and signals the close of the mid-year slump. From July forward, the monthly data will begin rising and with the fact that this month sets a four-year record, we’re in for a ride.
Yearly AMS Fireball Totals
The inner ring of the Nemesis Cloud is bolting upward through the ecliptic into the Northern skies as Nemesis begins accelerating toward aphelion, its closest point to Sol. This brings us to the annual totals.
While May of 2022, fell short of beating the numbers for 2013 and 2014, June did it – just barely.
Earthquakes Since 1997
At the outset of our Signs series, J. P. Jones created a dataset spreadsheet that tracks the total number of earthquakes each month beginning with 1997.
The updated table below now includes June 2022 with the data reported by the USGS for the month.
Monthly Earthquakes 1/2019 to 6/2022
When we look at annual global earthquakes for April, we see the same overall trend since January 2021. The numbers track previous years but with a flatter range.
June as with the prior months USGS data can be political, actual, or a mix of both. The reason is shown in the slide below.
Although we suspect the USGS of jiggering, we must also point out that, Earthquakes are down again, due to solar activity.
Nonetheless, we will continue reporting USGS data as highly suspect.
Nemesis Dust Bowl
The data so far for this year indicated that we are moving through the inner band of the Nemesis Cloud which has a mix of regions within it. Now, it appears that this closing has brought us into a larger region of the Nemesis Cloud we call the “Nemesis Dust Bowl.”
The news here is that something is happening way above our heads in the mesosphere.
MESOSPHERE: The portion of the atmosphere from about 50 to 80 kilometers (31 to 50 miles) above the surface of the earth, characterized by temperatures that decrease from 10°C to −90°C (50°F to −130°F) with increasing altitude.
What is happening in this cold region of our atmosphere that is of keen interest, relates to particulate matter.
PARTICULATE MATTER: Any solid or liquid particle less than 100 microns in diameter that can be suspended in the atmosphere.
And what are we looking at? Noctilucent clouds (NLC) and why they were first observed.
KRAKATOA AND NLCs: In 1884, average global temperatures fell by as much as 1.2 °C (2.2 °F) and in 1885, noctilucent clouds (NLC) or night-shining clouds were first observed. The temperature fall and the appearance of NLCs were a direct result of the eruption of Krakatoa in 1883.
Now that you what J.P. Jones was thinking about when he pulled up the spaceweather.com home page on July 2, 2022. As you read the article, note the highlighted text. I’ll address it below the article.
spaceweather.com, July 2, 2022
What’s up in space (Homepage)A SUDDEN INCREASE IN NOCTILUCENT CLOUDS: Something unexpected just happened in the mesosphere. As June came to an end, NASA’s AIM spacecraft detected a sharp increase in the frequency of noctilucent clouds (NLCs), the most in 15 years:
“In the last couple of days we saw a huge spike in the clouds,” says Cora Randall, a professor at the University of Colorado Boulder. Randall works with AIM data and she prepared the plot, above.
NLCs are Earth’s highest clouds. Seeded by meteoroids, they float at the edge of space more than 80 km above the ground. NLCs form when summertime wisps of water vapor rise up to the mesosphere, allowing water to crystallize around specks of meteor smoke.
Oliver Schwenn witnessed the outbreak on June 30th from Aarhus, Denmark:
“I photographed the display shortly before midnight,” says Schwenn. “The clouds were shining brightly in the night sky.”
What’s causing this? It could be SpaceX.
“We’re speculating that the spike might be due to extra water vapor transported to higher latitudes from rocket launches,” says Randall. “But much more quantitative analysis would be required to confirm that or not.”
The timing makes sense. It takes about 10 days for water vapor from rocket engines to waft up to the mesosphere. This takes us back to SpaceX’s launch of the Globalstar satellite on June 19th, which caused a number of remarkable phenomena in the sky due to the extra burn time of its second-stage engine. Noctilucent clouds may be yet another by-product of that unusual launch.
Noctilucent clouds are normally a polar phenomenon. However, since the outburst began we have received reports of NLCs from as far south as Washington State and Oregon. Look for the clouds, ripply and electric-blue, just after sunset.
Let’s focus on the five key points in this article and summarize them as follows:
- Highly significant historical increase in NLC frequency (1st illustration)
- NLCs crystallize around specks of meteor smoke
- SpaceX as NLC spike causality is highly speculative
- Normally a polar phenomenon NLCs are now seen as far South as Oregon
- Look for the clouds, ripply and electric-blue, just after sunset (2nd illustration)
The SpaceX hypothesis was a Hail Mary pass without a receiver, but it does make two points clear. We’re seeing a huge spike in 2022 that is far from being classified as natural variability.
Why? This sudden increase in noctilucent clouds reported by spaceweather.com is due to a sudden increase in particulate matter.
The likely causality is our convergence with the Nemesis Dust Bowl, which has deposited Krakatoa-like levels of particulate matter into the mesosphere. If this holds true, we expect to see more anomalous NLC observation reports this year.
Trouble is flying at us, which is why I wrote the Win-Win Survival Handbook. It shows you how to locate a survival community and build it deep and safe.
Category: Signs
