Signs 50 – An Ominous Sign

| March 13, 2021

Signs 50 - An Ominous SignThe Signs data for February 2021 much like that of the previous month, except for one huge difference.  An ominous sign has appeared in three of the fireball data subsets and it is particularly troubling. 

We will address this and future concerns in this article.  Meanwhile, for those of you who follow Planet X and are aware, when haven’t you heard someone telling you to prepare?

So, I’m asking you to prepare by considering how we share survival knowledge, because survival is less about manuals and more about working with like-minded others.

As a result of COVID, video conferencing has taken root culturally and it’s used everywhere.   Why not use this technology to bring people together to build survival friendships through sharing with one-on-one video mentoring?

Let’s say, for example, you want to learn how to make a smokeless campfire for cooking.

You connect with someone who does this and he or she watches you and mentors you through the steps as you successfully build your first smoke-free fire. Or, you could watch videos on YouTube alone and do it on your own.  Think about it.

With that, let’s get into the numbers.

February 2021 Fireballs

Fireballs are reported worldwide, and the American Meteor Society which is the primary source for North America, for this dataset.

AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs

Multistate/country fireballs cross the borders of multiple states and countries. For this reason, this is a critical category in the dataset because of the distance these fireballs must travel to receive reports from across large geographic areas.

AMS Multistate Fireballs 1/2017 to 2/2021

February 2021 was yet another all-time record-breaking record for this data subset.  It is the first data subset of this ominous sign.

Unlike January where the pattern builds, February was on the decline from the 2017 figure and then a complete and sudden change.  Not only in terms of a record-setting amount, but there is also a concurrent and significant trend reversal.

AMS Huge Event Fireballs

It is a commonplace occurrence for Multistate / Country Fireballs to be reported as huge events because a huge event occurs when 100 or more eyewitness observers report a huge fireball.

AMS Huge Event Fireballs 1/2017 to 2/2021

Like AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs above, February 2021 was another record-breaker and it is the second part of this ominous sign.

November 2017, set the all-time record of seven huge events in a single month and was the king of the hill for over four years.  Now, it is sharing the winner’s cup with February 2021.

AMS Monthly Total Fireballs

The monthly total fireballs are the most critical category in this dataset. When we look at the monthly total of fireballs for February 2021 we see a new record high for this month.

AMS Montly Fireballs 1/2017 to 2/2021

This is the third data subset of this ominous sign and like the other two sets a new record.   Each of these sub-sets is a concern, but when you view all of it holistically, the message is that we’re in new territory and it’s not very promising.

Yearly AMS Fireball Totals

This brings us to the annual totals and in just two months, 2021 has surpassed the first 7 months of 2011.

Yearly AMS Fireballs 1/2011 to 2/2021

The overall message of the fireball data is that there is a higher likelihood of a catastrophic impact event?  The question is how it will play out in the months ahead.

This is the 50th article in this series, and a huge benefit of our research is that we have so much of it.  Given this three-fold ominous sign, our team has begun a second review of this data for any patterns that will help us to identify future threats.  We’ll report that as soon as possible.

Earthquakes Since 1997

At the outset of our Signs series, J. P. Jones created a dataset spreadsheet that tracks the total number of earthquakes each month beginning with 1997.  The updated table below is for January 1997 through February 2021.

Earthquakes 1/1997 to 2/2021

We’re seeing the second drop in the first two months of this year.  Is this is the beginning of a new plateau?  We’ll see next month.

Monthly Earthquakes 1/2017 to 2/2021

When we look at annual global earthquakes for the dataset for January 2017 to December 2020 one could assume that the results are within a cyclic range.

Monthly Earthquakes 1/2017 to 2/2021

We’re beginning to see a step-climbing pattern with Earthquakes that suggests this data subset will either level out more or less, or we’re at the beginning of another step and it could be a biggie.

Keep in mind, the magnitude 8.1 quake in the Kermadec Islands region, about 620 miles from New Zealand.  That’s about as big as they get and it generated a tsunami warning as well.  March will be a pivotal month for this subset.

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Category: Signs

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