Signs 44 – More Falling Rocks and VLE Swarms

| October 17, 2019

Signs 42 – Beware of Falling Rocks

In terms of fireballs and earthquakes, September 2019 was another record-breaking month f0r fireballs. More so for fireballs.

In this 44th installment in this series, we’re incorporating a third dataset in addition to fireballs and earthquakes. It is very large earthquake (VLE) swarms.

As they say in the news business, “this story has legs,” and the VLE swarm regions we’re tracking present a mix of news.

Ergo, the fourth quarter could offer further subsidence or, we get hit from out of left field. With that in mind, let’s get into it.

September 2019 Fireballs

Fireballs are reported worldwide, and the American Meteor Society which is the primary source for North America, for this dataset.

AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs

Multistate/country fireballs cross the borders of multiple states and countries. For this reason, this is a critical category in the dataset because of the distance these fireballs must travel to receive reports from across large geographic areas.

AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs Jan 2015 to Sep 2019

September 2019 is the second-highest for this month dating back to 2015. Now that we’re in the fourth quarter of the year, when activity levels are historically higher, it will be interesting to see how the rest of the year unfolds.

AMS Huge Event Fireballs

It is a commonplace occurrence for Multistate / Country Fireballs to be reported as huge events because a huge event occurs when 100 or more eyewitness observers report a huge fireball even


AMS Huge Event Fireballs Jan 2015 to Sep 2019

September 2019 is the highest month since April 2019 for this dataset. It is interesting to note that there were no huge event fireballs for September 2018. In Signs 42, we said, “If we see a sudden spike with this one, it will be an ominous sign.” This was a spike, but certainly not the highest on record for this dataset.


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AMS Monthly Total Fireballs

The monthly total fireballs are the most critical category in this dataset. When we look at the monthly total of fireballs for September 2019, we continue to see the single most significant increase from one year to the next, going back to 2015.

AMS Monthly Total Fireballs Jan 2015 to Sep 2019

The AMS Monthly Total Fireballs for January through September of this year, as with every other month so far this year, has set a new record for being the highest on record for this dataset in all of recorded modern history. This is very disturbing.

AMS Total Yearly Fireballs

The total number of reported fireballs of all sizes is where the big picture moves from monthly to yearly, and here the news is that we’ve crossed another threshold. Not good.

Yearly AMS Fireball Totals 2011 to Sep 2019

With September 2019, we see that the yearly fireball totals for the first nine months of this year offering a stunning result. With three months in this year left to go, 2019 is already higher than 2011 through 2015.

Earthquakes Since 1997

At the outset of our Signs series, J. P. Jones created a dataset spreadsheet that tracks the total number of earthquakes each month beginning with 1997. The updated spreadsheet below has been updated with the September 2019 results.

Earthquakes Worldwide From Jan 1997 to Sep 2019

For September, We see some relief from the high numbers for July and August of this year, but let’s not break out the champagne just yet. To put this slide in perspective, focus on the cell for September 2019. When you look to the left of it, you see that September is the third-highest month on record for this year to date. However, look directly above September 2019, and it is the highest for September, going all the way back to 1997.

Monthly Earthquakes 1/2015 to 9/2019

When we look at annual global earthquakes for the dataset for January 2015 to September 2019 including VLE swarm events, September may be the runt of the liter as compared with July and August, but then again, this liter is from hell.

Worldwide Monthly Earthquakes From Jan 2017 to Sep 2019

Now that we’ve established that the peak activity we’re seeing for the period of July to September for 2018 and 2019 is due to very large earthquake (VLE) swarms, we’ve now added this to our earthquake dataset as the third subset.


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VLE Swarms

In Signs 43, we presented our findings on the very large earthquake (VLE) swarms that began with Hawaii in 2018. In that article, we presented a hypothesis to explain how this new twist in the data., Sep 26, 2019
Signs 43 – How California Sinks Into the Ocean
J.P. Jones Magma Rivers Hypothesis

Signs 43 - How California Sinks Into the OceanWe often think of volcanoes and fault lines as being regionally isolated from one another, for the most part. Conversely, this hypothesis posits J.P’s question, “what if there is another entire, undiscovered dimension to our planet, far below the ground?”

Imagine vast rivers of magma, flowing under high pressure, up from the Southern hemisphere along tectonic plate boundaries, and into to the Northern hemisphere.

Moving at high speeds and under great pressure, these rivers of magma feed tributary systems spanning vast distances, replete with streams, pools, lakes, and reservoirs.

The pools and lakes of magma in these tributary systems form under volcanoes, and the reservoirs form under supervolcanoes.

When volcanoes erupt, they function much as the release valve on the top of a pressure cooker. They vent excessive pressure caused by magma overflow, through the eruption.

What causes this pressure? More magma? Not likely. Rather, it is due to pressure from increased rates of magma flow velocity due to forces building deep up within the Earth. The causality is that Earth is in the early stages of a magnetic pole shift.

With this subset, the goal is to track swarms over time. We want to evaluate the possibility of a river of magma flowing around the edge of the Pacific Plate. We have designated three study areas.

North America Swarm Study Datasets

The three designated VLE swarms regions for this data substet are China Lake, Alaska, and NW Territory regions.

USA Very Large Earthquake (VLE) Swarm Datasets

In the illustration above, you see screen captures with the designated areas and their geographic boundaries coordinates.

With this in mind, let’s see the numbers for our three regions for the month of September 2019.

All Earthquakes for VLE Swarm Study Regions

China Lake contiues to show the swarm activity in the China Lake region is slowly subsiding in September, but when you compare that with the data against historical activity, we’re still in the red zone.

China Lake Dataset All Earthquakes - 1/2017 to 9/2019

With Alaska, the numbers for September 2019 have settled to the same level as 2017 for the same month.  It will be interesting to follow this region to see if there is a return of noticeable swarm activity.

Alaska Dataset All Earthquakes - 1/2017 to 9/2019

The Northwest Territory data for September 2019 is shockingly high as compared with all previous months going back to January 2017.

NW Territory Dataset All Earthquakes - 1/2017 to 9/2019

From March through September of 2019, we see increased swarm activity in China Lake and the NW Territory datasets. However, we saw a steep decline in the Alaska dataset. What we’re seeing here has a potential explanation with the J.P. Jones Magma Rivers Hypothesis, because the magma is flowing up from the Southern hemisphere towards the North Pole. Hence, perhaps Alaska is the end of the line for this system, which is why it can settle so quickly as we saw last month.

Now let’s compare these North America datasets against worldwide totals by year.


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USA VLE Swarms vs. Worldwide

The following 3-D slide presents the data for all earthquakes, including swarms for January through September of this year.


2019 USA VLE Swarms vs Worldwide Totals - 1/2017 to 9/2019

We see that our three VLE swarm study regions continue to present a strong showing for the period of July through September 2019.

With a more straightforward bar chart, we can see the comparative difference between the combined datasets and the worldwide numbers.

2019 VLE Swarm Datasets vs Worldwide Totals - 1/2017 to 9/2019

What we see is that no matter how you look at it, the third quarter for 2019 tops the previous two.   Will this trend continue, or does nature have something else in mind?  Not a terribly cheerful thought.


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Category: Signs

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