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Signs 34 – Watch For Falling Rocks

Signs 34 – Watch For Falling RocksIn Signs 33 – Pain is Coming we stated: ” It is only a matter of time before there is a significant meteor event with loss of life.  Or in other words, pain is coming.”

Now that the numbers are in for March 2019, there is no change.  In fact, the conditions which warrant this concern are growing as you will see in this article.  Therefore the question is, what will a potential significant meteor event with loss of life look like when it happens?  We’ll take that question as well.

In the backdrop of all this, is the recent news from the Midwest.  That farmers and ranchers in South Dakota, Nebraska, and Iowa have sustained over three billion dollars in losses due to massive flooding, and Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue says there could be as many as one million dead calves in Nebraska alone, not including other domesticated species as well.

Unless the shortfall in beef production this will cause cannot be offset by more imports from South America, could Americans see $10 Big Macs in the coming months as well as $7 Big Vegans? We’ll see.

With this in mind, let’s get into the numbers.

March 2019 Fireballs

Fireballs are reported worldwide, and the American Meteor Society which is the primary source for North America, for this dataset.

AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs

Multistate/country fireballs cross the borders of multiple states and countries. For this reason, this is a critical category in the dataset because of the distance these fireballs must travel to receive reports from across large geographic areas.

March 2019 in the AMS multistate and country fireballs subset is at the same level as March 2016. Both are above the levels for 2015, 2017, and 2018.  As with March 2016, we saw numerous observation reports on social media for last month.

AMS Huge Event Fireballs

It is a commonplace occurrence for Multistate / Country Fireballs to be reported as huge events because a huge event occurs when 100 or more eyewitness observers report a huge fireball event.

March 2019 is now the fourth highest month on record for this dataset for the period 1/2015 to 3/2015.  Furthermore, this dataset is considerably higher than all preivous years for this period.  An ominous sign.


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In Signs 33 – Pain is Coming we stated: “J. P. Jones, the analyst who is the research lead for this series, has expressed the opinion that these subsets suggest that Earth is passing between the outer bands of the Nemesis Cloud. The reason for this is found in the next subset, AMS Monthly Total Fireballs.”  This still stands.

AMS Monthly Total Fireballs

The monthly total fireballs are the most critical category in this dataset. When we look at the monthly total of fireballs for March 2019, we see the single most significant increase from one year to the next, going back to 2015.

The AMS Monthly Total Fireballs for March 2019 is the highest for this subset period, for the years, 2015 through 2019, which means that for the first quarter of the year, all three months represent all-time highs.   Once could be a one-off. Twice could be a coincidence.  But three times in a row?  Now we must ask, is J. P. Jones seeing proof that Earth is between bands in the Nemesis Cloud? Let’s look at the yearly totals.

AMS Total Yearly Fireballs

The total number of reported fireballs of all sizes is where the big picture moves from monthly to yearly, and here the news is (imagine the worst if you will).

When J. P. Jones defined this subset, the year 2011 was chosen for a specific reason.  In or about 2010, the American Meteor Society changed its reporting procedures.  This added efficiency and ease of reporting served to increase the overall reporting numbers as compared with prior years.  Therefore, 2011 was pegged as a reliable baseline.

With March 2019  we see a stunning result.  That the first quarter of 2019 is nearly at the same level as the entire year of 2011.   Between this and the value this month for the AMS Monthly Total Fireballs subset, the overall trend is more disturbing than before.

Earthquakes Since 1997

At the outset of our Signs series, J. P. Jones created a dataset spreadsheet that tracks the total number of earthquakes each month beginning with 1997. The updated spreadsheet below has been updated with the March 2019 results.

The total number of earthquakes of all magnitudes for March 2019 is 9,114.  A considerable increase over February with 7,586 total earthquakes. This means that March 2019 is the fourth highest year for earthquakes of all magnitudes since 1997.

Monthly Earthquakes 1/2015 to 3/2019

When we look at annual global earthquakes for the dataset for March 2019 we see the statistical values hovering within a statistically narrow range for this month dating back to 2015.

As we transition into the 2nd quarter of the year, will we see the same dramatic increases for this quarter that we saw back in 2018 and if so, what will be the meaning of all that?


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In the meantime, we have more serious concern.  Falling rocks.

Watch For Falling Rocks

On 15 February 2013 at about 09:20 local time, the Chelyabinsk meteor entered Earth’s atmosphere over Russia and detonated over a unpopulated region of the southern Urals.  Classed as a superbolide, the Chelyabinsk meteor was a 30-30 event.

What is a 30-30 event?  When the 2013 Chelyabinsk superbolide exploded, it released 30 times as much energy as the Hiroshima atomic bomb and was 30 times brighter than the sun.  Fortunately, the superbolide airburst occured 25 miles from the city of Chelyabinsk.  While no humans were killed as a result of the airbust, how many animals directly beneath the airburst did die?   That is a thorny question and we looked at that back in 2017.

Yowusa.com, May 8, 2017
Sudden Herd Deaths and Meteor Shockwaves

Reading about apparently inexplicable sudden mass deaths of both domestic livestock and wild animals, I realized that internal injuries from meteor explosions might explain many such cases, when disease, poison, or storms have all failed as reasonable possible causes. These internal injuries can come from undocumented meteor falls with explosions that simply go unnoticed, except for the terrible events they leave behind. Yet the news reports always seem worried about the recent uptick in the rate and brutality such odd and terrible events.

Chelyabinsk, Russia

The shockwave from the meteor that exploded over Chelyabinsk, Russia, 4 years ago, damaged 7,000-plus buildings, an amazing number, even though the city was about 25 miles (40 kilometers) away from the ground-zero point directly beneath the meteor’s explosion.

The shock wave arrived more than 3 minutes after the flash of the aerial explosion. Most of the 1,500 human injuries were from flying glass (modern folks who spend most of their time indoors), but a few people were physically knocked to the ground by the shock wave, and at least one victim suffered spinal damage and was airlifted to Moscow for serious medical care.

The point here is that given the marked increase in fireball observations during the first quarter of this year, we need to begin looking for meteor events where large herds of domestic farm and ranch animals are destroyed by airburst shockwaves.   Hopefully, we see these first, before humans become the future victims.

Just imagine what would happen if another 30-30 superbolide airbursts directly over a vast city-state such as Los Angeles, Houston, or London.  The amount of death, dying and destruction would be horrific and shocking.

The upshot is, what we need now is a Space Force with the ability to destroy or deflect incoming superbolides and large impactors before we need to begin digging mass graves.

 

 

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