Signs 65 – Nemesis Cloud Chowder
Last month, the question was, could we be entering a gap between bands in the Nemesis Cloud, and it became moot. So, where does that leave us?
The numbers for May indicate that we’re passing through a different region within the same Nemesis Cloud inner ring.
We call it the Nemesis Cloud chowder, and now the question is, how long will this phase last?
There are three possible answers for the summer months to come. More of the same, a dramatic and unexpected change, or praise the gods of astronomy, it all just goes away.
We concede that the third option is desperate hope, so for practicality, our working hypothesis now is that we’ll be in the chowder until the last quarter of this year. After that, is when it could get nasty so let’s do the numbers.
May 2022 Fireballs
Fireballs are reported worldwide, and the American Meteor Society which is the primary source for North America, for this dataset.
AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs
Multistate/country fireballs cross the borders of multiple states and countries. For this reason, this is a critical category in the dataset because of the distance these fireballs must travel to receive reports from across large geographic areas.
In May we see a small but significant jump over the previous months of this year. Typically, these are larger fireballs with flatter trajectories.
AMS Huge Event Fireballs
It is a commonplace occurrence for Multistate / Country Fireballs to be reported as huge events because a huge event occurs when 100 or more eyewitness observers report a huge fireball event.
While May was half the volume of April, both set new period highs respectively for 2022 with huge events. This is significant. Although we are in a period of typically lower activity, we keep seeing this trend.
This is what we call “the chowder.”
AMS Monthly Total Fireballs
The monthly total fireballs are the most critical category in this dataset. When we look at the monthly total of fireballs for May 2022 the results are statistically in range with prior years.
In our previous Signs, we introduced the term “Cosmic gruel.”
Given we’re seeing trends that indicate a mix of larger objects, we’ve escalated the granular aspects of this study from gruel to chowder.
This is not funny. If Mother Nature decides to serve it in a bread bowl, things will surely get messy.
Yearly AMS Fireball Totals
The inner ring of the Nemesis Cloud is bolting upward through the ecliptic into the Northern skies as Nemesis begins accelerating toward aphelion, its closest point to Sol. This brings us to the annual totals.
Back in April, J.P. Jones and I wondered if May 2022 would top all of 2013. Sigh… Tough darts farmer, it pulled up short – noticeably so.
The point here is that while granular levels of research can produce superb results, what matters most are the trends.
Earthquakes Since 1997
At the outset of our Signs series, J. P. Jones created a dataset spreadsheet that tracks the total number of earthquakes each month beginning with 1997.
The updated table below now includes May 2022 with the data reported by the USGS for the month.
Monthly Earthquakes 1/2019 to 4/2022
When we look at annual global earthquakes for April, we see the same overall trend since January 2021. The numbers track previous years but with a flatter range.
May as with the prior months USGS data can be political, actual, or a mix of both. The reason is shown in the slide below.
Although we suspect the USGS of jiggering, we must also point out that, Earthquakes are down again, due to solar activity.
Nonetheless, we will continue reporting USGS data as highly suspect.
Summary
The data so far for this year indicated that we are moving through the inner band of the Nemesis Cloud which has a mix of regions within it.
Hence, we distinguish these regions with terms like gruel and chowder to help readers visualize this in their minds.
The bottom line is that trouble is flying at us, which is why I wrote the Win-Win Survival Handbook. It shows you how to locate a survival community and build it deep and safe.
Category: Signs
