La Palma Tsunami – What Are The Odds It Will Not Happen?

| October 16, 2021

River of Magma overtakes housesWith catastrophic scenarios, we often play the ‘what if?’ game.   Assuming this or assuming that, what are the odds it could happen.  What a pleasant fiction that is.

This is not a game!

Having closely followed La Palma from the beginning, it’s time to flip the equation.  What are the odds it could not happen?

To those many who have followed my work for years, you know that I favor treading lightly with predictions.   This time, I’ve got to call it.

Before the end of this month, there will be a collapse of the western flank of the volcano.  It will propel a vast tsunami across the Atlantic basin at the speed of a modern passenger jet, it will spill across America’s Eastern shorelines like hydraulic sandpaper.

I will discuss this prediction in more detail later on in this report, but for now, let’s begin with what October 15, 2021, was like for the good folks of La Palma Island.

La Palma Reports for October 15, 2021

We’ll begin with my favorite reporter on the ground, Bushcraft Bear.  It is true man on the street reporting and when things are dicey, you see it in his demeanor.   Today, he’s very troubled.

Bushcraft Bear, Oct 15, 2021

Strongest Earthquake & Lava-Tsunami: Be careful now! The volcanic eruption surprised even scientists


Hello, I’m a Bushcraft Bear and share the latest information about the current volcanic eruption on the island of la palma in my videos. If you would like to support my YouTube channel, you are welcome to do so here: or Crypto Currency.

On the 27th day of the eruption, a 4.5 magnitude quake happened and the scientists are scratching their heads.  This is not looking good here and this next video from Global News puts a fine point on it.

Global News, 15-Oct-2021
La Palma volcano: Lava “tsunami” gushes down hillside after overflowing main cone


Video posted from The Canary Islands Volcanology Institute shows what it described as a lava “tsunami” pouring down the Cumbre Vieja volcano on La Palma, Spain after it overflowed from its main cone on Thursday.

To see this much magma moving this quickly is breathtaking.  Hats off to the Global News field team for excellent work.

Now that you have a visual grasp of the situation,  in this third video, you’ll get a lot of great backstory on what is presently happening on the island.

U.S. Military Action, Oct 15, 2021
Terrible Explosion (Oct 16) La Palma Volcano: Hundreds More Flee as Lava Spreads on Residential Area

Around 300 more people fled their homes early on Thursday as flows of molten rock pouring from the Cumbre Vieja volcano threatened to engulf another area on the Spanish island of La Palma.

Dear Readers, please note.  Going forward, I will be posting nightly on La Palma so please check back for current updates.  Now, more about my prediction.

The Cumbre Vieja Volcano Tsunami

La Palma was first appeared on my radar so to speak back in about 2005, and I’ve been following it closely since then.

You’ll often see graphics that are grainy with illustrations of the tsunami path.  These come from a paper published by two distinguished researchers back in 2001 and I want to share with you the abstract.

American Geophysical Union, June 27, 2001
Cumbre Vieja Volcano — Potential collapse and tsunami at La Palma, Canary Islands

  • Steven N. Ward: Institute of Geophysics and Planetary Physics, University of California, Santa Cruz California, USA
  • Simon Day: Benfield Greig Hazard Research Centre, Department of Geological Sciences, University College, London, U

Abstract. Geological evidence suggests that during a future eruption, Cumbre Vieja Volcano on the Island of La Palma may experience a catastrophic failure of its west flank, dropping 150 to 500 km3 of rock into the sea. Using a geologically reasonable estimate of landslide motion, we model tsunami waves produced by such a collapse. Waves generated by the run-out of a 500 km3 (150 km3) slide block at 100 m/s could transit the entire Atlantic Basin and arrive on the coasts of the Americas with 10-25 m (3-8 m) height.

You can click here to download the complete PDF, and I strongly suggest you do because it is incredibly well done.

It is difficult to imagine what a “slide block” can do, and the ‘what if’ numbers are admittedly understated in the usual manner of science.  So, let’s use a fitting image to give us an idea of what the least destructive possible could be.

Japan 11/11 at the Airport

This photo was taken at an airport on 11 March 2011.  The day gave us a nuclear volcano called the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant.

This is what is coming our way.  If we’re lucky.



In each of my weekly Planet X Conference zoom meetings, I discuss the consequences of a La Palma tsunami for America’s East Coast and offer tips and insights on what can be done to survive such a disaster.

Also, for those interested, in 2007, Christopher P. Lock PhD, FSAI, FABI of the Osaka University of Foreign Studies, published a very academic look at the coming La Palma tsunami.

I am making it freely available to the public through my new online store,  Please be sure to visit the store and anonymously download this substantial PDF eBook for free today.


Tags: , , , , , ,

Category: Earth

Comments are closed.