Signs 64 – Cosmic Gruel

| May 7, 2022

Signs 64 - Cosmic GruelWe have been waiting for the April numbers in the hope of seeing data to decide on the hypothesis that we could be entering a gap between bands in the Nemesis Cloud.

With April, the hypothesis is moot. What’s new is that we’re passing through a different part of the Nemesis Cloud inner ring.

This is something new, and so I call it cosmic gruel—a fitting colloquial expression like pea soup. We’ll get more into that later, but for now, let’s do the numbers.

April 2022 Fireballs

Fireballs are reported worldwide, and the American Meteor Society which is the primary source for North America, for this dataset.

AMS Multistate / Country Fireballs

Multistate/country fireballs cross the borders of multiple states and countries. For this reason, this is a critical category in the dataset because of the distance these fireballs must travel to receive reports from across large geographic areas.

AMS Multistate Fireballs for 1/2019 to 4/2022

Last month set a new high for January 2019 through April 2022. This was curious.

We researched this dataset more deeply and found a marked increase in the number of medium-sized fireballs and a significant increase in larger fireballs, such as those reported as huge events.

AMS Huge Event Fireballs

It is a commonplace occurrence for Multistate / Country Fireballs to be reported as huge events because a huge event occurs when 100 or more eyewitness observers report a huge fireball event.

AMS Huge Event Fireballs for 1/2019 to 4/2022

April set the new high for 2022 with huge events. Interestingly, April 2022 is precisely twice that of the previous years. The hypothesis that we could be entering a new gap between the Nemesis Cloud bands is moot.

AMS Monthly Total Fireballs

The monthly total fireballs are the most critical category in this dataset. When we look at the monthly total of fireballs for April 2022 the results, are not statistically significant from the prior year.

AMS Monthly Fireballs for 1/2019 to 4/2022

Here we see a composite of all the small, medium, and large-sized fireballs in the various categories, and what concerns us is that numerically, we’re not seeing much change between March and April of this year. Yet, multistate and huge event subsets set new highs for the year.

How do we explain this? Having pondered the matter at length, I wanted to create a new term that would describe the compositional nature and consequences of fricking rocks in space. Cosmic gruel.

Gruel was a thin porridge made with cereal in olden times, such as oats or wheat. It was an ordinary peasant dish in those times, and the term was also used to describe severe punishment.

Today, our cosmic gruel is a watery mix of more medium and large-sized objects with the promise of severe punishment for us here on Earth. As they say, if the shoe fits?

Yearly AMS Fireball Totals

The inner ring of the Nemesis Cloud is bolting upward through the ecliptic into the Northern skies as Nemesis begins accelerating toward aphelion, its closest point to Sol.   This brings us to the annual totals.

AMS Yearly Fireballs for 1/2011 to 4/2022

Here we are in the first four months of 2022, and the total for April easily blew past the entire years of 2011 and 2012, and about three-fourths of 2013.  To put that in perspective.  Let’s see what was happening back in 2011 through 2013.

AMS Yearly Fireballs Line Graph for 1/2017 to 12/2021

The point here is that while granular levels of research can produce superb results, what matters most are the trends.   Sometimes, they are harbingers and the message to us today is clear.  We’re on a collision timeline.

Earthquakes Since 1997

At the outset of our Signs series, J. P. Jones created a dataset spreadsheet that tracks the total number of earthquakes each month beginning with 1997.  The updated table below now includes March 2022 with the data reported by the USGS for the month.

All Earthquakes for 1/1997 to 4/2022

At 8,976 earthquakes of all magnitudes, April 2022 is now the fourth consecutive 5-digit month for 2022 as reported by the USGS.

Monthly Earthquakes 1/2019 to 4/2022

When we look at annual global earthquakes for April, we see the same overall trend since January 2021.  The numbers track previous years but with a flatter range.

Montly Earthquakes for 1/2019 to 4/2022

For those with an untrained eye, it would be simple to assume that shows a broad lowering trend.  For example, the USGS did not report earthquakes during the La Palma eruption.

USGS Jiggerning 1/2008 to 7/2021

Although we suspect the USGS of jiggering, we must also point out that, Earthquakes are down again, as solar activity continues.

Nonetheless, we will continue reporting USGS data as highly suspect.

Summary

Given the hypothesis that we could be entering a new gap between the inner rings of the Nemesis Cloud is moot, what are we looking for next?

The same thing as always.

To explore the data and the possibilities of the Nemesis Cloud As reported in Signs 60. Specifically, we’re looking for the gaps between the rings as illustrated below.

J.P. Jones Nemesis Cloud Data

While there are many artistic renderings and observation images, there is one that is the best example of what the data tells us about the rings of the Nemesis Cloud.

It is an image of the rings of Saturn captured by the Voyager 2 space probe.  (It was launched by NASA on August 20, 1977.)

Voyager 2 Image of Saturn's Rings

Using this NASA image of Saturn in mind, here is what we’re tracking:

  1. 2021 was an above-average increase in fireballs which would be indicative of a more dense debris band.
  2. In fact, 2022 month-over-month has continued the same relative levels of fireballs compared to 2021.  Hence, approximately the same overall density as 2021.
  3. So far this year, there appear to be more fireballs and what interests us is more moderate-sized objects are indicated.
  4. The increase in April for multistate and huge events gives credence that the current debris band is the same relative density as 2021 but with a greater number of moderate entities.
  5. We expect an uptick later this year, sometime from September on.

On the Earthquakes, we see a number of M class Earth-directed flares this year.  However, the big X-class flares are exploding on the far side of the sun.

Could there be an agitator out there?  We believe so and this is why I wrote the Win-Win Survival Handbook.  It shows you how to locate a survival community and build it deep and safe.

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Category: Signs

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